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December saw nation lose 45,900 jobs, StatsCan says

Manitoba numbers worrisome: professor

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OTTAWA -- The Canadian economy lost a surprising 45,900 jobs in December to finish the weakest year of job growth since 2009, raising concerns about how the economy will fare into 2014.

The unemployment rate rose to 7.2 per cent in the final month of the year, compared with 6.9 per cent in November. Manitoba, by comparison, saw its unemployment rate dip by a tenth of a percentage point to 5.5 per cent.

BMO Capital Markets chief economist Doug Porter said the dismal Canadian jobs data will add pressure on the loonie and stoke chatter about the possibility of an interest rate cut by the Bank of Canada.

The loonie fell 0.42 of a cent to 91.73 cents US after earlier having dipped to 91.36 cents US, its lowest level since September 2009.

Bank of Canada governor Stephen Poloz has suggested the central bank's next policy move is just as likely to be a cut in interest rates as a hike.

However, Porter suggested Friday it will likely take more than one month of disappointing job growth to trigger a rate cut.

"We continue to believe the bank will need to see an extended period of economic underperformance and even lower inflation before they would even consider easing," Porter said.

The December drop, the biggest in one month since March 2013, was led by a decline in full-time jobs, which fell by roughly 60,000, offset by a gain of 14,200 part-time jobs.

Economists had expected the economy to add 14,600 jobs and the unemployment rate to hold steady at 6.9 per cent, estimates compiled by Thomson Reuters state.

Manitoba also posted weak job-creation numbers -- a net loss of 1,000 jobs in December and a loss of 7,800, including 6,400 full-time positions, in the past 12 months. That translated into a job-creation rate for the year of minus 1.2 per cent.

University of Manitoba economist John McCallum said that latter figure is cause for concern.

"Canadian jobs were up by 0.6 per cent for the year and we were last in the country at minus 1.2 (per cent). That shouldn't be happening when we have an economy that's as diversified as ours is," he said.

The weaker-than-expected Canadian employment report came as the United States also released disappointing job-growth numbers.

Canada's biggest trading partner added just 74,000 jobs in December after averaging 214,000 in the previous four months. The U.S. Labor Department also said Friday the unemployment rate fell to 6.7 per cent from seven per cent in November as many Americans stopped looking for work.

The December jobs report capped a week of generally soft Canadian economic data. Statistics Canada reported earlier this week Canada's trade deficit edged higher in November as imports inched up and exports stalled.

Industry Minister James Moore said the jobs report was disappointing, but the government was focused on the bigger picture.

"I think if you step back and look at the overall jobs picture, we still have the strongest job record in all the G7," Moore said in Vancouver.

"The overall picture for the Canadian economy is still very strong. The jobs picture overall for the Canadian economy is still strong."

CIBC chief economist Avery Shenfeld noted the jobs numbers are volatile month to month, but said the December results were decidedly ugly.

"We are getting less surprised by surprises in this survey, which has had quite a lot of volatility in the past year or so, but obviously it is a disappointment in both Canada and the U.S.," he said.

However, Shenfeld noted the fourth quarter started out with a fair bit of momentum.

"Because we got off to a good start, the fourth quarter still looks reasonably healthy and so the issue really is: Do we get a bounce-back in January and February to help the first-quarter numbers?"

The drop in the overall number of jobs follows moves by several big companies to cut their workforces late last year.

Smartphone maker BlackBerry, for example, has been shedding jobs following an announcement in September it would cut its workforce by 40 per cent or about 4,500 people.

 

-- The Canadian Press

Republished from the Winnipeg Free Press print edition January 11, 2014 B10

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