Winnipeg Free Press - PRINT EDITION

Manitoba sheds 3,300 positions

MANITOBA'S unemployment rate jumped to its highest level in more than a year -- 5.7 per cent -- last month after more than 5,000 full-time jobs disappeared from the local economy, Statistics Canada figures show.

The agency's July labour force survey showed the province shed an estimated 5,100 full-time jobs in July. While it also added 1,800 part-time jobs, that still left Manitoba with a net loss of about 3,300 positions.

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That drove up the provincial unemployment rate by half a percentage point to its highest level since June of last year, 5.7 per cent.

The StatsCan numbers also show Manitoba lost 5,200 full-time jobs over the past year, while eight of the other nine provinces were racking up full-time-job gains of between 1,000 (Prince Edward Island) and 61,200 (British Columbia).

The survey results rekindled a debate between the province's chief statistician, Wilf Falk, and University of Manitoba economist John McCallum over how the StatsCan numbers should be interpreted.

Falk has been questioning the accuracy of the Manitoba labour-force survey, arguing the monthly results are too volatile and don't give an accurate picture of what's going on in the local economy.

He says part of the problem may be the small size of the sample -- about 4,600 households.

Falk also noted the survey typically shows a loss of thousands of education jobs in July, after the school year ends, and then a gain of thousands in September when the next school year begins.

He said the same thing is happening this year, with the seasonally adjusted StatCan numbers showing a loss of 4,600 education jobs in July.

murray.mcneill@freepress.mb.ca

Republished from the Winnipeg Free Press print edition August 11, 2012 B5

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