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Winnipeg Free Press - PRINT EDITION

Fall's on the way and it's predicted to be just ho-hum

By: Rob Wiliams

Posted: 08/28/2012 1:00 AM | Comments: 0

Asher Rohne, 4, has a ball during a swing ride at Kildonan Park Monday. (JOE BRYKSA / WINNIPEG FREE PRESS ) Photo Store

After a mild winter and hotter-than-average summer that helped Winnipeg break a 140-year-old weather record, temperatures this fall are looking to be nothing more than ho-hum.

The Weather Network is predicting average temperatures and normal precipitation levels for the city between Sept. 1 and Nov. 30.

"You will see a squeeze of temperatures with some above-seasonal temperatures and some below-seasonal temperatures, but in the end it will average out to seasonal values. There's nothing crazy at this point," said Weather Network meteorologist Elena Lappo.

Even with some days of extreme heat or subpar temperatures, when the three-month season ends, Winnipeg should have an average high of 10 C and a low of -1 C with a mean temperature of 4 C. The city is predicted to get 89 millimetres of rain in that time and 27 centimetres of snow.

Lappo couldn't predict when we would get our first snowfall.

"It's not unheard of for Winnipeg to start seeing its first flurries as early as late September, but it's more likely to be in October and November. In November alone, the average for the city is 21 centimetres of snow and six millimetres of rain," she said.

Earlier this month it was announced the city set a new record for the warmest 12-month period since weather records began being kept in the city 140 years ago.

From Aug. 1, 2011 to July 31, 2012, Winnipeg had an average temperature of 6 C, beating the 1877 record of 5.6 C.

And don't put away those shorts just yet because this week is predicted to be sunny and warm, with a high of 29 C forecast for today and 31 C predicted for Wednesday. Things will settle down to the mid-20s for the weekend.

"With the swings of temperatures up and down it's definitely still possible to see another round of nice days. It's not unheard of to see temperatures in September going into the 30s. The extreme maximum ever in September was Sept. 2, 1983 when it went to 38.8 C," Lappo said.

The Weather Network is predicting near normal precipitation for most of Western Canada with the exception of coastal British Columbia, which will receive less-than-average precipitation.

Near-normal temperatures are predicted for most of the region, with southern Alberta and Saskatchewan bucking the trend with above-average temperatures and below-normal temperatures forecast for northern coastal British Columbia.

rob.williams@freepress.mb.ca

Republished from the Winnipeg Free Press print edition August 28, 2012 A2

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