Hey there, time traveller!
This article was published 24/3/2014 (945 days ago), so information in it may no longer be current.
For decades the United States has supplied much of the military muscle in NATO. The strength of that force enhanced the security of Europe even as European nations slacked off military spending. Result: The U.S. far outspends all its NATO allies combined on defense.
Into this tidy European alliance tromps Russian President Vladimir Putin. With astonishing swiftness he has grabbed Russian-centric Crimea from the Western-leaning government of Ukraine. He won’t let go.
Putin’s aggressive move has rightly unsettled Russia’s NATO neighbors in Europe. They — and their allies in Washington — wonder, what’s next? Everyone is scrambling to prevent Putin from moving forces into Ukraine’s eastern territory.
The most powerful leverage against Putin isn’t in Washington, even though President Barack Obama announced Thursday a new set of economic sanctions targeting Russian tycoons.
This is Europe’s moment to punch back or... duck.
Germany is a major trading partner. Russia does much business in Great Britain, France, and across Eastern Europe.
These NATO allies, acting with resolve and Washington’s help, could inflict serious economic pain by focusing sanctions on Russia’s vital energy industry. Revenues from energy have propped up the Putin government and Russia’s struggling economy. Other trade restrictions could dry up capital markets and make it harder for Russia to obtain the equipment and expertise it needs for the exploration and development of its untapped energy reserves. Travel restrictions should make it hard for Russia’s government and oligarchs to do business abroad.
The Europeans, however, are — unsurprisingly — divided. Many don’t want to lose Russian business. They don’t want to invite Russian retaliation since many European countries depend on Russian oil and natural gas. They don’t want to rock the boat too hard.
Tribune reporter Paul Richter has mapped out the divisions: Poland, the Baltic states, Sweden and the Netherlands back strong action. Britain, France and Germany are leaning that way. Greece, Spain, Italy, Cyprus and Bulgaria may resist tougher measures for fear of the pain that could cause at home.
You can be sure that Putin, a master strategist, is counting on European disarray.
This is Europe’s moment to carry its weight in the NATO alliance and inflict painful sanctions on Russia, even if the repercussions hurt at home. The Europeans can no longer shield their eyes, look to the U.S. and hope someone does something.
Beyond economic sanctions, NATO also is considering whether to fulfill a Ukrainian request for military gear — vehicles, mine-clearing equipment, fuel, ammunition. The equipment should have been there yesterday. The alliance also should send military advisers to Ukrainian command centers to coordinate intelligence sharing and deployment of equipment.
Crimea has been lost. (In many ways it’s no big prize, a poor province that was a major budgetary drain on Ukraine’s finances.) But Europe has to make it a painful acquisition for Putin, and signal that his ambitions for a greater Russian empire can go no further.
European leaders shouldn’t need to be reminded of what former U.S. Defence Secretary Robert Gates said in 2011 about NATO’s future if Europe continues to shirk its own defence.
"In the past, I’ve worried openly about NATO turning into a two-tiered alliance... between those willing and able to pay the price and bear the burdens of alliance commitments, and those who enjoy the benefits of NATO membership — be they security guarantees or headquarters billets — but don’t want to share the risks and the costs. This is no longer a hypothetical worry. We are there today. And it is unacceptable."
True then. True now. Europe, time to step up.