Hey there, time traveller!
This article was published 2/9/2008 (2828 days ago), so information in it may no longer be current.
Hot on the heels of several polls last week that reinforced the stalemate in Canada's political economy, we have the Globe and Mail/CTV News poll
by the Strategic Counsel
showing the Conservative Party within striking distance of a majority government. The poll gives the Tories the support of 37 per cent of respondents, with the Liberals trailing at 29 per cent and the NDP (17) and Greens (9) bringing up the rear.This poll came as a bit of a surprise really as surveys performed late last week reinforced the statistical tie that has reigned over the Liberals and Tories. Certainly, more than a few election junkies I talked to yesterday considered the possibility this was a rogue survey. It's happened before.It certainly could be that Strategic Counsel has captured the beginning of a new trend line. I am interested, however, that the survey was done August 25-31, which took it directly into the prelude and teeth of the long weekend. I wonder who was at home to answer the phone?Still, it is always safe to consider that the party that calls an election knows something the rest of us don't know about the public opinion numbers. And it's not unusual for a quick and decisive shift in parking lot support early in a campaign, even prior to a campaign being called.This latest poll must be doing quite a bit to put lead in the Tories' pencils, if you know what I mean. At 37 per cent support, the Tories are agonizingly close to the magic 40 per cent threshold - the accepted standard for parties to consider forming a majority government. In the low 40s usually translates into an easy majority; high 40s can translate into a landslide.Keep tuned for more polling excitement.-30-