Losing ground, gaining ground, losing ground again? If you remember that the most important thing is not the number, but the trend, then the Tories look as if they could be backing over the finish line of Tuesday's election.
For more than a week, the Tories gave ground back to the Liberals, narrowing the gap in daily tracking polls. Then, mid last week, they started to rebound. Now, the gap is narrowing again.Both Nanos and Ekos have the Liberals narrowing the gap with the front-running Tories. Harris/Decima, which had been in lockstep with Nanos, is now reflecting a growing Tory lead.If it is narrowing, why? I'll float the idea that making fun of Liberal Leader Stephane Dion's television interview gaffe may have backfired a bit. I'm sure readers will let me know how full of it I am, but I think it's an intriguing theory. The Tories were headed in the right direction right up until they went after Dion, suggesting that his inability to hear a question from a television anchor was a sign of, I don't know, a mental handicap? Yeesh.I'll say it again: Nanos is the leader in trending. Watch where the arrows in the Nanos poll are going, and you have an indication of which party has the momentum. It's going to be quite a night on Tuesday.UPDATE: 23:24 PM CTThe Strategic Counsel endorses the downward trend of the Conservatives.I'm just saying.-30-