Winnipeg Free Press - ONLINE EDITION

Poll results may vary

I always scoff a little bit when I hear a politician dismiss poll results by saying the only one that counts is the poll on election day.

That may be technically correct but there is no way Michael Ignatieff doesn't get a little adrenaline rush when his numbers go up or Stephen Harper doesn't smile at least inwardly when the Liberals numbers go down.

But their caution is also not entirely unwarranted as poll results can be misleading and all over the place. This week is a perfect example. In the last 24 hours I have had three different polls end up in my inbox all with different results.

With the parties all likely having their own poll results as well, at the moment the only thing certain about how Canadians plan to vote is that nobody is certain.

Here are the results I can glean at the moment from the polls themselves or news stories about them. Not all of them are entirely available online.

Ipsos-Reid

Feb. 18-22

Conservatives 37
Liberals 29
NDP 16

- telephone survey, 1,000 Canadians, +/-3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20

Harris-Decima

Feb. 18-28

Conservatives 31
Liberals 31
NDP 16
Bloc 8
Green 12

- telephone survey, 2,035 people, accurate within +/- 2.2 percentage points, 19 times out of 20

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About Mia Rabson

Mia Rabson is a born and bred Winnipegger whose interest in politics seemed clear when she dressed up as Prime Minister Brian Mulroney for Halloween in the 7th grade.

Her interest in writing was no surprise to her parents, who learned early in Mia’s life that no piece of blank paper — or wall, for that matter — was safe in her hands.

She holds an honours BA in English from Queen’s University, a master’s degree in journalism from the University of Western Ontario, and has completed a political journalism fellowship in Washington, D.C. with the Washington Centre for Politics and Journalism.

Prior to working for the Winnipeg Free Press, Mia briefly worked for the Detroit News in the paper’s Washington bureau.

Mia joined the Free Press team in February 2001, and in April 2001 was appointed to the Manitoba legislature bureau. In December 2004, she was appointed bureau chief at the legislature. She became the newspaper’s parliamentary bureau chief/national reporter in Ottawa in January 2008.

In 2008 she was nominated for a Michener Award with a team of reporters from the Free Press for its coverage of the province’s child welfare system.

She counts reliving the invasion at Dieppe, France, with veterans of the failed Second World War expedition and overcoming her fear of heights to touch the Golden Boy statue atop the Legislative Building among her favourite experiences as a reporter.

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