I always scoff a little bit when I hear a politician dismiss poll results by saying the only one that counts is the poll on election day.
That may be technically correct but there is no way Michael Ignatieff doesn't get a little adrenaline rush when his numbers go up or Stephen Harper doesn't smile at least inwardly when the Liberals numbers go down.
But their caution is also not entirely unwarranted as poll results can be misleading and all over the place. This week is a perfect example. In the last 24 hours I have had three different polls end up in my inbox all with different results.
With the parties all likely having their own poll results as well, at the moment the only thing certain about how Canadians plan to vote is that nobody is certain.
Here are the results I can glean at the moment from the polls themselves or news stories about them. Not all of them are entirely available online.
- telephone survey, 1,000 Canadians, +/-3.1 percentage points, 19 times out of 20
- telephone survey, 2,035 people, accurate within +/- 2.2 percentage points, 19 times out of 20