The cost difference between west side line vs. east side line is an estimated $3.62 billion. East Side: $788 million ($600 million for the line, plus $188 million for licensing) West Side: $4.1 billion plus $300 million line losses (the value of the energy lost in transit via a longer route).
By using a Manitoba population figure of 1,232,550, the per person differential cost is estimated at $2,937. This population figure is not a current Statistics Canada number. It looks like an about June 1, 2010 number.
Using the most current population number of April 1, 2011 of 1,246,396 gives a per capita value of $2,904.
So, if the differential cost is $2,937, then the differential cost for four individuals is 4 x $2,937 or $11,748.
In this analysis the number of families of size four is not used at all. It’s a per individual approach.
The figure of $11,748, assuming the cost differential is correct, is applicable only to some 20 per cent of Manitobans. There are an estimated 251,620 Manitobans in families of size in July 2009.
The NDP and Manitoba Hydro have made the same calculations. They figure the number is closer to $13.68.
To learn more about how math works, here’s Abbott and Costello.