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Research on census wanting

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Posted: 07/23/2010 1:00 AM | Comments: 0 (including replies)

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July 23 2010 winnipeg free press dale cummings edit dinky CENSUS DEBATE

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- StatsCan's reputation in question

Industry Minister Tony Clement says he is pleased with the support he has got from Canadians on his government's decision to scrap the mandatory long-form census survey. His Twitter tweets have been surprisingly pleasant, Mr. Clement told the Globe and Mail.

That's hardly a representative, reliable and random sample of opinion, but the minister is likely seeking any solace offered these days. The decision to allow voluntary response to the long-form survey, the bedrock of Statistics Canada data mined by a broad spectrum of groups interested in understanding the country and framing the public policy that serves it, has unleashed a storm of criticism. On Wednesday, StatsCan chief statistician Munir Sheikh resigned, telling his staff he could not put his name to the reliability of the information from the new survey.

That was a huge blow to the credibility of Mr. Clement, who justified the government's decision to shift to a voluntary survey with what he said were suggestions of Mr. Sheikh's to protect the quality of the data.

The government has been weathering blistering abuse from a variety of academics, researchers, policy analysts, municipalities, business groups and most of the provinces. All are concerned that a voluntary survey will erode the reliability of a wealth of detail gleaned from the 30-minute survey -- disability, educational status, ethnicity, the number of bathrooms and bedrooms in a house. Pockets of people, among them the poor, immigrants and aboriginal Canadians, are less likely to fill in the survey.

And that would imperil necessary details of their lives. All governments agree that raising deplorably low graduation rates among First Nations people is key to improving their incomes. The higher the incomes, the higher the health status. And, ironically, those living in poverty are sicker, but make less use of health services. This is the kind of insight gleaned from the StatsCan long-form survey.

The Fraser Institute (see page opposite) argues that asking people about broken floor tiles -- an indicator of housing conditions -- is irrelevant, and that researchers should get their data by conducting their own surveys, as does the think-tank. That is a poor alternative, fraught with risk, to a survey that has reliably tracked Canada's shifting economic and social landscape for almost half a century.

It is not too late for Mr. Clement to change his mind, to restore the mandatory survey in next year's census. He should consult widely with those who rely on the census, sort through questions he believes are unjustified "intrusions," and prepare a long-form survey that serves Canadians.

Republished from the Winnipeg Free Press print edition July 23, 2010 A14

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