Winnipeg Free Press - ONLINE EDITION

NDP slightly ahead in election race: poll

WINNIPEG - A new Angus Reid poll places the governing New Democratic Party slightly ahead of the Progressive Conservatives as voters head to the polls Tuesday.

According to the results of the online survey released Monday afternoon, 46 per cent of decided voters and "leaners" would cast a ballot for the NDP candidate in their riding, while 43 per cent would vote Tory and eight per cent would back the Liberals.

The Green party received support from three per cent of the 800 Manitoba adults who responded to the online survey.

The NDP garnered the backing of a majority of voters in Winnipeg (51%), while the Tories dominated in rural areas (53%).

The Progressive Conservatives have the best retention rate of all contending parties (88%), while the NDP is slightly lower at 78 per cent.

The situation is more dire for the Liberals, who are holding on to less than half of their voters in the 2007 election (46%) and the Greens, who are keeping just 30 per cent.

Most Progressive Conservative voters (82%) and New Democrat voters (75%) say they will stick with their choice in tomorrow’s election. Conversely, 42 per cent of Green voters and 52 per cent of Liberal voters say they may change their mind before casting their ballot.

Half of Manitobans (51%) expect the NDP under Premier Greg Selinger to form the government after the election, while 26 per cent believe the Progressive Conservatives under leader Hugh McFadyen will emerge victorious.

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