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Tories have support of half of Manitobans: poll

WAYNE GLOWACKI / WINNIPEG FREE PRESS FILES 
PC Leader Brian Pallister meets with supporters at a campaign event last week.

WAYNE GLOWACKI / WINNIPEG FREE PRESS FILES PC Leader Brian Pallister meets with supporters at a campaign event last week.

Hey there, time traveller!
This article was published 18/4/2016 (1132 days ago), so information in it may no longer be current.

A new poll taken on the eve of today's Manitoba election shows the Progressive Conservatives have the support of more than half of the province’s voters.

The Forum Research Poll for the Free Press predicts the Tories will capture as many as 43 of the province’s 57 seats, with 11 seats for the NDP and three for the Liberals.

The interactive phone survey of 1,083 randomly selected respondents also found the provincial Green Party had made gains in Manitoba and was likely to take nine per cent of the vote.

Asked which party they had either already voted for or were leaning towards, 52 per cent of respondents said they’d support the PCs, while 21 per cent said NDP and 18 per cent said Liberal.

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Hey there, time traveller!
This article was published 18/4/2016 (1132 days ago), so information in it may no longer be current.

A new poll taken on the eve of today's Manitoba election shows the Progressive Conservatives have the support of more than half of the province’s voters.

The Forum Research Poll for the Free Press predicts the Tories will capture as many as 43 of the province’s 57 seats, with 11 seats for the NDP and three for the Liberals.

The interactive phone survey of 1,083 randomly selected respondents also found the provincial Green Party had made gains in Manitoba and was likely to take nine per cent of the vote.

Asked which party they had either already voted for or were leaning towards, 52 per cent of respondents said they’d support the PCs, while 21 per cent said NDP and 18 per cent said Liberal.

"The PCs’ dominance in the vote share isn’t a surprise to any pollster, but it is interesting to note recent revelations about his Costa Rican properties don’t seem to have hurt Brian Pallister’s prospects of forming the next government," Forum Research president Lorne Bozinoff said in a news release.

Men between the ages of 45-54 living outside of Winnipeg were the most likely to support the Progressive Conservatives, the poll results showed. Fifty-eight per cent of men and 47 per cent of women said they’d vote PC. Women were slightly more likely than men to support the NDP or the Liberals – 24 per cent of women said they’d vote NDP compared with only 17 per cent of male respondents, and 19 per cent of women said they’d vote Liberal compared with 16 per cent of men.

In the youngest age group surveyed, from 18-34, 42 per cent of respondents had decided to vote for or were leaning towards the Progressive Conservatives.

Support for the Progressive Conservatives was even higher outside of Winnipeg, the poll found. While 46 per cent of respondents living within Manitoba’s capital pledged their support for the PCs, 56 per cent of Brandon residents and 60 per cent of those living elsewhere in the province also said they’d vote Progressive Conservative.

Results of the poll, conducted April 16 and 17 using interactive voice-response technology, are considered to be accurate +/- three per cent, 19 times out of 20.

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History

Updated on Tuesday, April 19, 2016 at 7:15 AM CDT: Fixes typo

8:32 AM: Tweaks headline to make meaning clearer; but for math nerds out there, if the Tories need 29 seats out of 57 total to form government, winning 43 seats as projected would indeed give them a 14-seat majority.

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