July 3, 2020

Winnipeg
27° C, A few clouds

Full Forecast

WEATHER ALERT

Help us deliver reliable news during this pandemic.

We are working tirelessly to bring you trusted information about COVID-19. Support our efforts by subscribing today.

No Thanks Subscribe

Already a subscriber?

Advertisement

Advertise With Us

Pollster erred in showing Tories, NDP neck-and-neck

Hey there, time traveller!
This article was published 20/8/2019 (318 days ago), so information in it may no longer be current.

A rookie polling firm that released an uncommissioned provincial election poll on Friday, showing the Manitoba NDP and PC parties almost deadlocked, has since backtracked on that claim.

Converso, a Toronto-based firm which conducted its first poll in Manitoba, said on Sunday it realized there was a weighting issue with its initial results, and released new results on Monday.

The updated results show more of a gap between support levels for each party, with the Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba at 35 per cent, the New Democratic Party of Manitoba at 21 per cent, the Manitoba Liberal Party at 12 per cent and the Green Party of Manitoba at eight per cent.

Another 15 per cent of those surveyed said they were undecided, five per cent said they would rather not say and two per cent said they won’t vote at all. Converso said the numbers don’t add up to a total of 100 per cent because of rounding.

In a statement released Monday, Converso’s managing director Carl Mavromichalis said the discrepancy was brought to the attention of political parties, the media and "other stakeholders" as soon as the firm discovered a discrepancy between the survey’s regional and general results.

The error was caused by an over-weighting of responses from northern Manitoba, and the new results are corrected and have been verified by a third party, Mavromichalis said.

"We apologize for the error and recognize the importance of providing Manitobans with an unbiased, independent election survey," he said. "We feel confident that we have now fulfilled our intention."

The poll also broke down results by gender, region and age. If the survey were a representative sample, the margin of error would be three per cent, 19 times out of 20.

caitlyn.gowriluk@freepress.mb.ca

Twitter: @caitlyngowriluk

Advertisement

Advertise With Us

Your support has enabled us to provide free access to stories about COVID-19 because we believe everyone deserves trusted and critical information during the pandemic.

Our readership has contributed additional funding to give Free Press online subscriptions to those that can’t afford one in these extraordinary times — giving new readers the opportunity to see beyond the headlines and connect with other stories about their community.

To those who have made donations, thank you.

To those able to give and share our journalism with others, please Pay it Forward.

The Free Press has shared COVID-19 stories free of charge because we believe everyone deserves access to trusted and critical information during the pandemic.

While we stand by this decision, it has undoubtedly affected our bottom line.

After nearly 150 years of reporting on our city, we don’t want to stop any time soon. With your support, we’ll be able to forge ahead with our journalistic mission.

If you believe in an independent, transparent, and democratic press, please consider subscribing today.

We understand that some readers cannot afford a subscription during these difficult times and invite them to apply for a free digital subscription through our Pay it Forward program.

The Free Press would like to thank our readers for their patience while comments were not available on our site. We're continuing to work with our commenting software provider on issues with the platform. In the meantime, if you're not able to see comments after logging in to our site, please try refreshing the page.

You can comment on most stories on The Winnipeg Free Press website. You can also agree or disagree with other comments. All you need to do is be a Winnipeg Free Press print or digital subscriber to join the conversation and give your feedback.

Have Your Say

Have Your Say

Comments are open to The Winnipeg Free Press print or digital subscribers only. why?

Have Your Say

Comments are open to The Winnipeg Free Press Subscribers only. why?

By submitting your comment, you agree to abide by our Community Standards and Moderation Policy. These guidelines were revised effective February 27, 2019. Have a question about our comment forum? Check our frequently asked questions.

Advertisement

Advertise With Us