October 22, 2020

Winnipeg
-2° C, Overcast

Full Forecast

Close

Advertisement

Advertise With Us

Pollster erred in showing Tories, NDP neck-and-neck

Hey there, time traveller!
This article was published 20/8/2019 (429 days ago), so information in it may no longer be current.

A rookie polling firm that released an uncommissioned provincial election poll on Friday, showing the Manitoba NDP and PC parties almost deadlocked, has since backtracked on that claim.

Converso, a Toronto-based firm which conducted its first poll in Manitoba, said on Sunday it realized there was a weighting issue with its initial results, and released new results on Monday.

The updated results show more of a gap between support levels for each party, with the Progressive Conservative Party of Manitoba at 35 per cent, the New Democratic Party of Manitoba at 21 per cent, the Manitoba Liberal Party at 12 per cent and the Green Party of Manitoba at eight per cent.

Another 15 per cent of those surveyed said they were undecided, five per cent said they would rather not say and two per cent said they won’t vote at all. Converso said the numbers don’t add up to a total of 100 per cent because of rounding.

In a statement released Monday, Converso’s managing director Carl Mavromichalis said the discrepancy was brought to the attention of political parties, the media and "other stakeholders" as soon as the firm discovered a discrepancy between the survey’s regional and general results.

The error was caused by an over-weighting of responses from northern Manitoba, and the new results are corrected and have been verified by a third party, Mavromichalis said.

"We apologize for the error and recognize the importance of providing Manitobans with an unbiased, independent election survey," he said. "We feel confident that we have now fulfilled our intention."

The poll also broke down results by gender, region and age. If the survey were a representative sample, the margin of error would be three per cent, 19 times out of 20.

caitlyn.gowriluk@freepress.mb.ca

Twitter: @caitlyngowriluk

Advertisement

Advertise With Us

The Winnipeg Free Press invites you to share your opinion on this story in a letter to the editor. A selection of letters to the editor are published daily.

To submit a letter:
• fill out the form on this page, or
• email letters@freepress.mb.ca, or
• mail Letters to the Editor, 1355 Mountain Avenue, Winnipeg, Manitoba, R2X 3B6.

Letters must include the writer’s full name, address, and a daytime phone number. Letters are edited for length and clarity.

Advertisement

Advertise With Us