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Winnipeg Free Press - PRINT EDITION
Limbo lets NDP keep support stable
WITH the two main opposition parties searching for new leaders, Manitoba's provincial political scene is stuck in a holding pattern.
The winner in all of this is Manitoba's governing NDP, which is maintaining its lead in popular support from last fall's election.
According to a new Probe Research poll conducted for the Free Press, the NDP has the support of 44 per cent of Manitobans, compared with 40 per cent for the Conservatives and 13 per cent for the Liberals.
NDP support is up slightly from a poll in March and down a shade from last October's vote -- although in statistical terms the tiny movements since fall are all within the margin of error.
"I just look at this and say, 'There's not much going on,' " Probe president Scott MacKay said Tuesday.
He said that could quickly change once the Conservatives and Liberals choose new leaders.
Former member of Parliament Brian Pallister is likely to be acclaimed leader of the Tories when nominations for the position close at the end of this month. The Liberals will pick a new leader next year.
Within Winnipeg, the NDP still has a commanding lead in popular support -- at 49 per cent -- compared with 32 per cent for the PCs and 16 per cent for the Liberals. Outside the Perimeter Highway, the Conservatives still dominate with 53 per cent of the support.
The question asked in the poll was: "If a provincial election were held tomorrow, which party's candidate would you be most likely to support?"
The poll's margin of error is considered accurate within plus or minus 3.1 percentage points 19 times out of 20.
-- Larry Kusch
Republished from the Winnipeg Free Press print edition July 11, 2012 A4
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