Conference Board of Canada sees 1.5% growth this year as tariff uncertainty weighs

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OTTAWA - The Conference Board of Canada is forecasting the domestic economy will grow 1.5 per cent in 2025 as the potential for U.S. tariffs on Canadian exports and a pullback in immigration weigh on growth.

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This article was published 24/01/2025 (426 days ago), so information in it may no longer be current.

OTTAWA – The Conference Board of Canada is forecasting the domestic economy will grow 1.5 per cent in 2025 as the potential for U.S. tariffs on Canadian exports and a pullback in immigration weigh on growth.

Cory Renner, associate director of economic forecasting at the Conference Board, says while declining interest rates have alleviated some pressure, uncertainty surrounding trade and the impact of weaker population growth are dragging on growth prospects for 2025.

The pace of growth is forecast to increase to 1.9 per cent in 2026.

The Conference Board of Canada is forecasting that the Canadian economy will grow 1.5 per cent in 2025 as the potential for U.S. tariffs on Canadian exports and weaker population growth weigh on growth. Donald Trump speaks at the New Hampshire Federation of Republican Women Lilac Luncheon, June 27, 2023, in Concord, N.H. THE CANADIAN PRESS/AP/Steven Senne
The Conference Board of Canada is forecasting that the Canadian economy will grow 1.5 per cent in 2025 as the potential for U.S. tariffs on Canadian exports and weaker population growth weigh on growth. Donald Trump speaks at the New Hampshire Federation of Republican Women Lilac Luncheon, June 27, 2023, in Concord, N.H. THE CANADIAN PRESS/AP/Steven Senne

The report says a weaker Canadian dollar and strong demand from the U.S. should be positive for exporters, but the threat of tariffs makes the outlook for trade highly uncertain.

It also says a slowdown in population growth will impact Canada’s labour market.

U.S. President Donald Trump is threatening to impose 25 per cent tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico.

This report by The Canadian Press was first published Jan. 24, 2025.

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