Canada
9.0 quake in B.C. would kill thousands and cost $128 billion, report foresees
2 minute read 2:07 PM CSTVICTORIA - A British Columbia government report foresees more than 3,400 fatalities and more than 10,000 injuries if an earthquake with a magnitude of 9.0 strikes off Vancouver Island.
The scenario of such a "megathrust" quake also describes costs of $128 billion, the destruction of 18,000 buildings and extensive damage to 10,000.
The analysis is part of the B.C. disaster and climate risk assessment, dated October 2025, and says such a quake is "one of the more likely earthquake scenarios in B.C."
It says the heaviest damage could occur on Vancouver Island and a roughly 20-kilometre band including Vancouver along the mainland, from the U.S. border to the Sunshine Coast.
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