Bowman would take second term: poll

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This article was published 20/10/2017 (3132 days ago), so information in it may no longer be current.

If a civic election were held now, Brian Bowman would get the keys to the city for a second term, a CTV Winnipeg-Probe Research poll has found.

The poll shows that with a year to go before the civic election, the mayor — first elected in 2014 — has the support of 59 per cent of Winnipeg voters.

Probe’s Mary Agnes Welch says while that number has fallen from 69 per cent in summer 2016 and the 77 per cent he had in fall 2015, it is still enough to put Bowman back in the mayor’s seat.

“I think part of this is the honeymoon coming off, but 59 per cent is just fine going into an election,” Welch said. “Bowman’s support tends to be in the moderate-approval area.

“We’re not having a romance with Brian Bowman. We like him, but we don’t love him.”

The poll found Bowman’s support is strongest with women, people who have a higher education and higher income.

“He has pretty strong support among people who actually go out and vote,” Welch said.

But interestingly for a mayor who always has been involved with the Progressive Conservative party, that’s where his weakest support comes from.

Only 49 per cent of people who say they vote Tory provincially support Bowman, compared with 68 per cent of NDP supporters, 64 per cent of Liberals and 71 per cent of Green party supporters.

The poll sampled 600 Winnipeg adults from Sept. 21 to Oct. 10 using a random and representative sampling. The results have a 95 per cent certainty of being accurate within plus or minus four percentage points.

kevin.rollason@freepress.mb.ca