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Opinion Analysis

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Coup could happen if Trump wins presidency

By: James Kirchick
Posted: 4:00 AM CDT Sunday, Jul. 24, 2016

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JESSICA GRIFFIN / PHILADELPHIA INQUIRER</p><p>Donald Trump and his wife, Melania Trump, at the Republican National Convention in Cleveland last week.</p>

JESSICA GRIFFIN / PHILADELPHIA INQUIRER

Donald Trump and his wife, Melania Trump, at the Republican National Convention in Cleveland last week.

CLEVELAND — Americans viewing the recent failed coup attempt in Turkey as some exotic foreign news story — the latest, violent yet hardly unusual political development to occur in a region constantly beset by turmoil — should pause to consider the prospect of similar instability would not be unfathomable in the United States if Donald Trump were to win the presidency.

Hey there, time traveller!
This article was published 24/7/2016 (1733 days ago), so information in it may no longer be current.

Opinion

CLEVELAND — Americans viewing the recent failed coup attempt in Turkey as some exotic foreign news story — the latest, violent yet hardly unusual political development to occur in a region constantly beset by turmoil — should pause to consider the prospect of similar instability would not be unfathomable in the United States if Donald Trump were to win the presidency.

Trump is the most brazenly authoritarian figure to secure the nomination of a major American political party. He expresses his support for all manner of strongmen, and his campaign manager, Paul Manafort, has actually worked for one: former Ukrainian president and Vladimir Putin ally Viktor Yanukovich. At the Republican National Convention Monday, Manafort put some of the tricks he learned overseas as a dictator whisperer to good use, employing underhanded tactics to avoid a roll-call vote on the convention’s rules package and quietly removing language from the party platform expressing support for Ukraine’s democratic aspirations.

RON EDMONDS / THE ASSOCIATED PRESS FILES</p><p>Retired U.S. air force general Michael Hayden says he’d be ‘incredibly concerned’ if Trump follows through on his autocratic statements.</p>

RON EDMONDS / THE ASSOCIATED PRESS FILES

Retired U.S. air force general Michael Hayden says he’d be ‘incredibly concerned’ if Trump follows through on his autocratic statements.

Throughout the campaign, Trump has repeatedly bragged about ordering soldiers to commit war crimes, and he has dismissed the possibility he would face any resistance.

"They won’t refuse," he told Bret Baier of Fox News this year. "They’re not gonna refuse me. Believe me."

When Baier insisted such orders are "illegal," Trump replied, "I’m a leader. I’ve always been a leader. I’ve never had any problem leading people. If I say do it, they’re going to do it."

THE ASSOCIATED PRESS FILES</p><p>U.S. President Harry S. Truman pins a medal on the shirt of Douglas MacArthur in October 1950. He fired the general the next year.</p>

THE ASSOCIATED PRESS FILES

U.S. President Harry S. Truman pins a medal on the shirt of Douglas MacArthur in October 1950. He fired the general the next year.

Oh really? Blimpish swagger might fly within the patriarchal confines of a family business, a criminal operation (the distinction is sometimes blurred) or a dictatorship. It does not, however, work in a liberal democracy, legally grounded by a written constitution, each branch restrained by separation of powers.

Try to imagine, then, a situation in which Trump commanded the U.S. military to do something stupid, illegal or irrational. Something so dangerous it put the lives of Americans and the security of the country at stake. (Trump’s former rival for the Republican presidential nomination, Marco Rubio, said the U.S. could not trust "the nuclear codes" to an "erratic individual.") Faced with opposition from his military brass, Trump would perhaps reconsider and back down. But what if he didn’t?

In that case, the nation’s military men and women, who swear to uphold the U.S. Constitution and a civilian chain of command, would be forced to choose between obeying the law and serving the wishes of someone who has explicitly expressed his utter lack of respect for it.

They might well choose the former.

"I would be incredibly concerned if a president Trump governed in a way that was consistent with the language that candidate Trump expressed during the campaign," retired air force general Michael Hayden, who served as head of the CIA and the National Security Agency under President George W. Bush, said in response to Trump’s autocratic ruminations.

Asked by TV host Bill Maher what would happen if Trump told American soldiers to kill the families of terrorists, as he has promised to do, Hayden replied, "If he were to order that once in government, the American armed forces would refuse to act."

"You are required not to follow an unlawful order," Hayden added. "That would be in violation of all the international laws of armed conflict."

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Previously, in those rare situations when irreconcilable disagreements have arisen between America’s civilian and military leadership, it is the latter who were ultimately deemed out of line. This was the case when Harry S. Truman acrimoniously fired Douglas MacArthur after the general publicly criticized the president for denying him permission to bomb China in the midst of the Korean War. Though MacArthur returned to the U.S. with a hero’s welcome, Truman’s decision endures as one of the most important in the history of American civil-military relations.

Trump could pull a reverse-Truman, firing a general who refused to bomb.

If this scenario sounds implausible, consider Trump has normalized so many once-outrageous things — from open bigotry to blatant lying. Needless to say, such dystopian situations are unimaginable under a Hillary Clinton presidency. Whatever her faults, she would never contemplate ordering a bombing run or — heaven forbid — a nuclear strike on a country just because its leader slighted her small hands at a summit. Rubio might detest her, but he cannot honestly say Clinton, a former secretary of state, should not be trusted with the nation’s nuclear codes.

Trump is not only patently unfit to be president, but a danger to America and the world. Voters must stop him before the military has to.

James Kirchick is a fellow with the Foreign Policy Initiative. His book, The End of Europe, is forthcoming from Yale University Press.

— Tribune News Service

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